aWe examine the bet365 Gold Cup leading up to the next event, a race held over 3m5f at Sandown during the Jump Finale, in order to identify past winners among the runners, trainers, and jockeys, as well as to determine the trends that could help in predicting the winner of the bet365 Gold Cup. Andy, a Horse Racing statistics expert, has been contributing to OLBG for 18 years. In addition to being an Ipswich fan and F1 enthusiast, he also provides his opinion on EFL football and Motor Sport.
bet365 Gold Cup 202àa
The bet365 Gold Cup, initially sponsored by Whitbread until 2001, was first held in 1957. It is a Grade 3 handicap chase for horses aged five and above, covering a distance of three miles and four and a half furlongs with twenty-four fences to tackle. This prestigious event, which features past winners like Arkle, Mill House, Special Cargo, Desert Orchid, Topsham Bay, and Mr. Frisk, traditionally concludes the national hunt season in late April. Mr. Frisk, who won the Grand National in record time and also claimed victory in the bet365 Gold Cup, remains the last Grand National winner to achieve this feat.
bet365 Gold Cup 2024 growing significance and financial influence
The prestige of the list of winners since the mid-1990s has not been as high as some of those mentioned earlier. This could be due to the growing significance and financial influence of the Cheltenham Festival and Grand National meeting on the jumps calendar, causing top staying chasers to almost overlook this event after focusing on these festivals during their campaigns.
bet365 Gold Cup Complete Information:
Make sure to visit our dedicated Sandown tips page for predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming bet365 Gold Cup and other meetings throughout the season. Additionally, check out our preview blogs for more information. Links to these blogs can be found in the section below.
bet365 Gold Cup Market
How tough is the bet365 Gold Cup market in terms of competitiveness? Analyzing the over-rounds for the past 20 renewals reveals that the most competitive market was in 2007, with an over-round of 118%. Conversely, the 2018 race heavily favored the bookies, with an over-round of 134%. On average over the last 20 renewals, the over-round for the bet365 Gold Cup has been 126%, indicating that the bookies anticipate paying out £100 for every £126 bet.
bet365 Gold Cup Trends For Potential Of The Winner:
Consider the future potential of the winner. In the past 20 instances, following the winner of the bet365 Gold Cup for the next race would have resulted in a single successful bet. However, betting on all 19 other runners from previous races to win next time would have resulted in a loss of -13.50. In preparation for the 2024 bet365 Gold Cup, it may be beneficial to explore racing predictions for tips on today’s other races.
During the last 20 renewals, Hot Weld achieved the quickest time of 7:11.10 in 2007, with Tidal Bay posting the slowest winning time of 7:50.30 in 2012. Ferdy Murphy trained Hot Weld, who was ridden by Graham Lee, while Tidal Bay was ridden by Daryl Jacob and trained by Paul Nicholls.
Top 3 quickest-run bet365 Gold Cup
These are the top three quickest-run bet365 Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- 2007 – Hot Weld (7:11.10)
- 2019 – Talkischeap (7:15.90)
- 2011 – Poker De Sivola (7:16.30)
bet365 Gold Cup Past Winners Info
Below are the past winners of the bet365 Gold Cup for the previous 10 races. Each entry includes the year of the event, the winning horse’s name, its age and weight, the trainer and jockey at the time of the victory, and the starting price of the horse.
Race Notes: Enrilo won the 2021 renewal but was demoted to 3rd with Potterman being awarded the race.
|
Year |
Horse |
Info |
|
2023 7:33.70 |
Kittys Light (GB) 7yo 10-8 11/4F |
Jack Tudor Christian Williams (GB) |
|
2022 7:26.58 |
Hewick (IRE) 7yo 11-4 16/1 |
Jordan Gainford (3lbs) John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
|
2021 7:37.87 |
Potterman (GB) 8yo 11-9 12/1 |
Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
|
2019 7:15.90 |
Talkischeap (IRE) 7yo 10-11 7/1 |
Wayne Hutchinson Alan King (GB) |
|
2018 7:32.90 |
Step Back (IRE) 8yo 10-0 7/1 |
Jamie Moore Mark Bradstock (GB) |
|
2017 7:22.60 |
Henllan Harri (IRE) 9yo 10-0 40/1 |
Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
|
2016 7:25.65 |
The Young Master (GB) 7yo 10-12 8/1 |
Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3lbs) Neil Mulholland (GB) |
|
2015 7:23.15 |
Just A Par (IRE) 8yo 10-0 14/1 |
Sean Bowen (3lbs) Paul Nicholls (GB) |
|
2014 7:35.10 |
Hadrians Approach (IRE) 7yo 11-0 10/1 |
Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson (GB) |
|
2013 7:23.10 |
Quentin Collonges (FR) 9yo 10-12 14/1 |
Andrew Tinkler Henry Daly (GB) |
Where does haves the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the bet365 Gold Cup have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 48 placings from 310 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 6 placings from 29 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
bet365 Gold Cup Trainer Statistics Of Most Successful
Over the last 20 bet365 Gold Cup renewals, Paul Nicholls has been the most successful trainer, winning the race three times with Ad Hoc (2003), Tidal Bay (2012), and Just A Par (2015). Philip Hobbs and Alan King have also achieved multiple wins in the bet365 Gold Cup, each with 2 wins. On the other hand, Nigel Twiston-Davies and David Pipe have not had much luck in the past 20 renewals, with 16 runners each but no wins to show for it.
Top bet365 Gold Cup trainer statistics Over last 20 renewals
Here are some of the top bet365 Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
|
Trainer |
R-W-P |
Win |
EW |
|
Paul Nicholls |
44-3-14 |
-11.00 |
+2.32 |
|
Philip Hobbs |
25-2-11 |
+12.00 |
+17.65 |
|
Alan King |
10-2-3 |
+11.00 |
+5.63 |
|
Nicky Henderson |
13-1-4 |
-2.00 |
-0.50 |
|
Neil Mulholland |
11-1-2 |
-2.00 |
-3.50 |
|
Christian Williams |
6-1-3 |
-2.25 |
-0.65 |
|
Peter Bowen |
5-1-1 |
+36.00 |
+21.00 |
|
Henry Daly |
5-1-2 |
+10.00 |
+6.63 |
|
Mark Bradstock |
4-1-2 |
+4.00 |
+3.13 |
|
Michael Hourigan |
3-1-1 |
+18.00 |
+10.50 |
bet365 Gold Cup Jockey Statistics emerged as the most accomplished
In the last 20 bet365 Gold Cup renewals, Sean Bowen has emerged as the most accomplished jockey, clinching the race title twice with Just A Par in 2015 and Henllan Harri in 2017. In contrast, Sam Twiston-Davies has yet to secure a win in the 11 races he has participated in, while Aidan Coleman has ridden in 10 races without a victory.
Here are some of the top bet365 Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
|
Jockey |
R-W-P |
Win |
EW |
|
Sean Bowen |
6-2-3 |
+50.00 |
+31.50 |
|
Jamie Moore |
9-1-1 |
-1.00 |
-3.62 |
|
Daryl Jacob |
5-1-2 |
+5.00 |
+2.88 |
|
A P Heskin |
4-1-1 |
+17.00 |
+9.50 |
|
Tom Cannon |
4-1-1 |
+9.00 |
+4.50 |
|
Graham Lee |
4-1-1 |
+3.00 |
+0.60 |
|
Jack Tudor |
3-1-3 |
+0.75 |
+2.35 |
|
Daniel Howard |
2-1-1 |
+24.00 |
+14.63 |
|
Jordan Gainford |
1-1-1 |
+16.00 |
+10.00 |
|
Sam Twiston-Davies |
11-0-3 |
-11.00 |
-6.81 |
2024 bet365 Gold Cup Trends Old to New
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (13, PU), 3, F, 2, 4, PU, (5, PU), 3, 10, 3, (2, 7, 11, PU), 4, UR, 5, PU, 6, 3, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) – Within the first 13 of market
- 20 / 20 (84%) – Beaten no more -38l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) – Fewer than 6 career DNF
- 20 / 20 (87%) – Ran over 2m7½f – 4m4f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) – Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) – Carried 135 – 164lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) – Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Season)
- 19 / 20 (76%) – Avoid 10yos and 12yo+
- 19 / 20 (82%) – No bigger than 25/1
- 19 / 20 (85%) – Achieved an RPR of 140+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (69%) – Had contested at least a G2
- 18 / 20 (75%) – Not BF, F or PU (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (75%) – Achieved an RPR of 139+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (76%) – Not within 2lbs of Ave Weight
- 18 / 20 (80%) – No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
Don’t forget to incorporate the aforementioned trends and Sandown racing predictions when trying to identify the potential winner of the bet365 Gold Cup. If there’s anything you’re unsure about in this blog, feel free to leave a comment or visit the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article in the OLBG Betting School section for clarification.
Have you joined yet? If not, what’s holding you back? With over £6,000 up for grabs every month in the tipster competition, why not take part? Remember, it won’t cost you anything! So, visit the registration page and sign up today! If you’re already a member, contribute your thoughts on the bet365 Gold Cup by sharing a tip on the race here.
bet365 Gold Cup Trend Analysis Complete Result
The trend factor that has resulted in 10+ winners and demonstrates the highest LSP, with an LSP of +33.50, is when runners had no career starts at the track. On the other hand, the least successful factor that has not produced a single winner is when runners had recorded 2 career DNFs, with a track record of 0-76 when backing these. Cheltenham and Aintree are the courses that have produced the most winners of the bet365 Gold Cup, with a total of 4 winners from each course.
The race is open to both male and female runners. Out of 340 male runners, 20 have won, while none of the 3 female runners have produced a winner.
- Midnight Legend (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Bob Back (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Consider the winning odds from the past 20 renewals, and you’ll find that the highest-priced winner was Henllan Harri in 2017, with odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Sean Bowen. In the same period, only one favorite has won the race. Before the 2024 bet365 Gold Cup, why not visit the top racing tipster page to see today’s top picks?
Other Principal Notable races at Sandown Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Sandown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
- Tolworth Novices Hurdle
- Veterans Chase Series Final
Races in February
- Scilly Isles Novices Chase
Races in March
- Betfair Novices Handicap Chase
- Imperial Cup
Races in April (Classic Trial Day)
- Classic Trial
- Esher Cup
- Gordon Richards Stakes
- Sandown Mile
Races in April (Jump Finale)
- Celebration Chase
- Oaksey Chase
- Select Hurdle
Races in July
- Eclipse Stakes
- Sprint Stakes
Races in December
- Henry VIII Novices Chase
- London National
- Tingle Creek